Coventry City Council Adult Social Care - demand data

Detailed data on annual usage of all areas of social care support is listed within our Technical Appendix. 

18-64 Age Group

  • A total of 65% of the city’s population are of working age (18-64), with Coventry seeing a particular growth in the population 
  • of younger adults due in part to the two local universities attracting both local and international students, as well as better paid jobs in the local economy. 
  • The 55-59 age group experienced the greatest growth of any age group in Coventry. This means there is a need to focus on preventative health amongst the working age population now to manage future demand on health and care services.  
  • Coventry continues to have a lower rate of new requests for support, per 100,000 population for this age group than our comparators.    
  • Coventry has seen an ongoing increase in the percentage of new requests from 4% in 2021/22 to 6% in 2022/23, to 7% in 2023/24 which led to long term support. 
  • Coventry has a higher percentage of new requests in 2023/24 (15%) of adults going on to receive short term care than our 2022/23 comparator averages (8% to 11%) for this age group. This has been an increasing trend over the last five years.    
  • Coventry continues to have a lower rate in 2023/24, 714 per 100,000 population of people receiving ongoing long-term support during the year for this age group, compared to our2022/23 comparators (820 - 875).  

65+ Age Group 

  • Growth in this age group is anticipated to accelerate and outpace other groups within the next 10-15 years.
  • Coventry has a higher rate of new requests for support in 2023/24, 15783 per 100,000 people aged 65+, than our 2022/23 comparators (13285 – 14450).
  • Coventry has seen a reduction in the percentage of requests leading straight to ongoing long-term support from 8.5% in 2021/22 to 5% in 2022/23 which was maintained in 2023/24. This is lower than our 2022/23 comparators (9% and 10%).
  • Coventry has a higher percentage of new requests in 2023/24 (30%) going on to receive short term care than 2022/23comparator averages for this age group.  Coventry has been at a similar percentage for the last three years.    
  • Coventry has a higher rate of 6127 per 100,000 population of people receiving ongoing long-term support during 2023/24 compared to the 2022/23 West Midlands (5175) and England (5183) average.

18+ Age Group 

  • The numbers of new requests have remained at the same level as in 2022/23, when previously there was a 3% increase, compared to an England increase in 2022/23 of 1%. There were 10,430 new requests in 2021/22 t10,772 in 2022/23 and 10,773 in 2023/24. This is the equivalent of 30 requests for CCC adult social care per day.  
  • During 2023/24 Coventry saw a slight increase of 1.5% of people who received ongoing long-term support compared with 2022/23, which is lower than the West Midlands (3%) and England (2.1%) rises in 2022/23.
  • As of the 31st of March 2024, Coventry has 8.2% of individuals receiving nursing care, compared to 8.4% in 2023.  
  • Coventry is similar to the 2022/23 England rate of 8%.    
  • Coventry has a lower rate 70% in community-based support (2023/24), compared with the 2022/23 England rate of 71.3%. 

Projected demand has been estimated using the number of people in long term support reported at the end of the financial year (data as of 31st March 2023) for the previous five years as the baseline for the projections. The methodology for both estimates is described however external factors, such as cost of living and health inequalities, may also impact figures. 

Methodology figure charts are available on page 32

What this tells us:

Demand for long term support is anticipated rise year on year for the next five years. There is currently an oversupply of affordable housing with care, but increased provision is required for private funders. Development of nursing provision may also be required in the future to ensure we can meet projected need.